Friday 5 October 2012

Week 5 NFL Predictions

So Omid had a much better last week, he finished with a 11-4, bringing his total to 22-25. I slumped to a 8-7 record (22-25 overall). ESPN’s panel of experts averaged a record of 11-4, therefore confirming Omid’s belief that he is just as good as the informed people. Omid also took home the game of the week as he correctly predicted an Eagles win on Sunday night, He is now in the lead with a 2-1 record. 


Romo never fails to amuse me, although even I gotta admit most of the interceptions were not his fault. 

1) Arizona -1 @ St Louis (Stl won 17-3)

Well  the Cardinals are 4-0, thanks to some luck, bad opponents and Kevin Kolb. Ummmmm yeah, the defense is scrappy and keeps them in the games. They had a decent game vs the improved Dolphins last week but their pass defense is in the last 10 of the league. The Rams on the other hand beat a good Seattle team at home last week. They have been keeping games tight all season against better opponents. Sam Bradford is starting to get comfortable in the pocket and is learning how to use his receivers better. The Rams pass defense is what keeps them in games and they will shine vs Kevin Kolb. St.Louis wins at home 24-21.

Ah the NFC west, no more 7-9 division winners here, this division is legit. Arizona is coming off a scare at home to the surprisingly competent Dolphins, winning in overtime thanks to a Ryan Tannenhill interception. The D is overly hyped but very solid, and I think they will come out with more purpose this week. The Rams did beat Seattle at home, but that was thanks to two 58+ yard field goals and a TD from their punter. I love St Louis but I think this Cardinals team is just better. Arizona 17-15.

2) Cleveland +9.5 @ NY Giants

Cleveland is tough to read, they would have won last week if Greg Little could make a few more routine catches, but I think Baltimore was not at their best playing in their 4th game in 17 days. Giants on the other hand almost make Andy Reid look like a fool with the ridiculous “freezing the Kicker” timeout. Alas Tyne’s field goal fell just a few yards short. Cleveland will be tough again, but the Giants will come out fired up at home and I Really think they have too many offensive weapons for Cleveland, NYG 28-14.

Giants lost a tough one to the Eagles Sunday Night thanks to some bad decisions by Eli and the play callers. They were upset about it all week so look for the offense to score lots of points this week. the defense was solid like usual and there is no issues there. The Browns are really bad, and dont really have anything positive going for them other than Trent Richardson. NYG 31-14.

3) Miami +3 @ Cincy

I’m surprised Cincinnati is not favored by more after winning three in a row and two on the road. AJ Green is the best receiver this season thus far without a doubt. The running backs are also doing their jobs keeping the other teams defenses have to stay honest. Their defense is not very good but that shouldn’t be an issue vs the Dolphins. Tannehill had a great game last week vs the Cardinals weak secondary. The running offense hasn’t been as powerful since that outburst by Reggie Bush several weeks back. Their run defense is number one in the league and their pass defense is last so look for them to over commit to the pass. CIncinnati 31-17.

RYAN TANNEHILL! BRETT HARTLINE! WHITE PEOPLE!!! Those two connected for 250+ yards and two Ts last week against a very good Arizona secondary. Miami had a good shot to win last week but could not close the deal. Ryan Tannehill has the gunslingers mentality but needs to avoid mistakes in their own territory such as the INT in overtime which handed the game to Arizona. Cincy has looked very good on offense and is relying on the sophomore connection of Andy Dalton and AJ Green to drive the offense. Cincy has too many weapons for this young Dolphins team, 28-17 Bengals.

3) Green Bay -7.5 @ Indianapolis

Green Bay somewhat righted the ship last week with a slightly unconvincing win at home against the 0-4 Saints. Aaron Rodgers looked great but the defense is still a huge question mark. Luckily the Indy D is just as bad as the Saints and Aaron Rodgers should have another fun day this Sunday. Indy had their bye week last week and will be well rested. However, they will be without their head coach (Leukemia) and have a tough task against the reigning MVP. I think Luck will have a strong game against an uninspiring GB defense but Aaron Rodgers will be too much for Indy to overcome, GB takes it 30-24.  

Green Bay won a tight game vs the Saints last week at home in a tough fought game. The defense is stellar at getting pressure on the qb but their secondary is still the biggest problem on the team, they take too many gambles that result in big plays. The offense is been up and down and that won’t change with Jennings sitting this one out. The Colts on the other hand are coming off a bye week after a loss to the Jags. As a young team the bye week should have helped but the bad news about their coach probably had a negative mental effect. Andrew Luck is improving every week and has the Colts in the top half of passing offense. The defense is still horrible vs the run but has been able to limit other teams points. Green Bay 24-14.




4) Baltimore -7 @ Kansas City

Baltimore has one of the best defe........i mean offenses in the league this season. Flacco has some very good weapons around him and none better than Ray Rice. They can score with anyone as they showed vs the Patriots and will rip apart this Chiefs secondary. On defense they are old and until Suggs comes back they just need to limit points instead of trying keep a shutout going. The Chiefs need to change their qb but have no one to replace him with. the offense is been struggling all year and the running game has been M.I.A all season minus one game. Baltimore 27-7.

Oh I’d never thought I would see the day where a Ray Lewis led defense is playing second fiddle to a Joe Flacco led offense. But this Baltimore offense is humming along with the one two punch of Rice and Flacco. As long as the defense plays adequate the Ravens will be favoured. This week shouldn’t be a test as they are playing a Chiefs team that is frankly just awful. Jamal Charles is a stud but Matt Cassel has proven this year he is nothing more than a back up qb. If KC is shutout by half, look for Brady Quinn to get a shot in the second half. I don’t think this will be a contest. Baltimore 35-21.  


5) Philadelphia +3 @ Pittsburgh

The Eagles have won three games by a combined 4 points while losing 1 by 19, they could easily be 0-4. However good teams find a way to win tight games and that is exactly what the Eagles have been doing. This Eagles team is well coached and will always play to the level of their opponent. The Steels are coming off a bye last week. They are 1-2 and are staring at a pair of division rivals at 3-1. This is an early season must win for the Steelers if they do not want to fall too far behind in their division. I haven't made my mind up about this Steelers team yet, they are moving away from the run and is becoming a more air it out offense. I think the Eagles eek another tight one out, 24-23.

The Eagles keep winning for no reason other than their defense keeping them close enough in games and Vick coming up with big drives when they really need them. Whats scary is they found their running game in the second half of last weeks game vs the Giants and that could be the answer to their problems. McCoy was a beast in the second half of the game helping the eagles gain 125+ yards on the ground. Look for them to run the ball hard and if it works to start throwing it the rest of the game. The Steelers had a week off to reflect on what has been a tough start to the season for them.They let the Raiders come back from an absolutely ridiculous deficit to upset them two weeks ago. The passing offense is been great all season but they haven’t been able to run the ball at all. Grated Mendenhall is injured but they need to find some way to keep the defense honest. The defense is been struggling with injuries as well but will have Polamalu and Harrison back this week. Those guy will provide much needed energy and help the Steelers win a tight one at home. Pittsburgh 24-20.

6) Atlanta -2.5 @ Washington

Atlanta is The best team in the league thus far. Their offense is run by the NFL MVP so far in Matty Ryan and they have more offensive threats on their team than  most divisions. The Redskins are a fun team to watch and keep most games interesting. RG3 is developing nicely and has a very good idea of what he needs to do and when. His 2 minute drill last week was pretty impressive at the end of the game. Atlanta 35-28.

I love RG3, the moment Billy Cundiff’s kick won us the game, I hopped on the internet and purchases my RG3 jersey. This kid is the real deal and barring some awful injuries, he should have a long and productive career in DC. There are two major matchups to watch this week, ATL offense vs the Redskins D and the Redskins running game vs ATL D. Matt Ryan and his many scary receivers should have a field day vs the Redskins secondary as they are just simply awful. The Redskins defense is hampered by injuries and Atlanta should have no trouble scoring. The redskins running game led by two rookies, RG3 and Alfred “The Butler” Morris are leading the NFL in rushing at 170+ yards per game. The Falcons D is ranked last in the league against the run and for the Redskins to have a shot, they need to pound the ball on the ground and eat clock. The forecast is calling for 13 degrees with rain on Sunday, this should benefit the Redskins run game and maybe slow down the Falcons passing attack. I’m going out on a limb and calling a Redskins upset, 35-34 win.


7) Seattle +2.5 @ Carolina

These are two young and inconsistent teams. Seattle is a different team away from home and Russell Wilson is playing more and more like a 3rd round rookie QB. Marshawn Lynch is still running hard and the D will always keep the game close, but the passing offense is sputtering at the moment. Carolina has been flip flopping between promising (win against NO, close loss at Atlanta) and frustratingly bad (loss to TB and blowout loss at home to the Giants). Cam Newton has all the physical tools to be a legend but he needs to work on his leadership skills. I think Carolina comes out hard and give Russell Wilson another frustrating afternoon. Car 21-17.  

Boy this game could be tons of fun. The seahawks have been all over the map this week with solid wins and some bad losses. They have a good defense but they make dumb decisions and take horrible penalties. The offense has a rookie qb and also have an issue with false starts which makes it hard for them develop any rhythm. Good thing they have Lynch who is just a beast on the ground. The Panthers have lost some close games this season vs good teams and their 1-3 record shows just that. The offense is been ok but not nearly as explosive as was imagined. the defense is been struggling to limit points and could be why the offense is not been able to settle down. I'm expecting a big game from Newton and the gang this week. Carolina 23-13.

8) Chicago -4.5 @ Jacksonville

I’m not a fan of Cutler but the  Bears defense is absolutely electric. They make this team a contender and help the offense not have to win games but rather just not blow them. Last week they picked off ROMO 5 times with 2 going back for touchdowns. The Jaguars are the worst team in the league in my  opinion and will get destroyed this week. Chicago 28-3.

The Bears D is scary, the Monsters of Midway are back! All Cutler has to do is score as much as his own defense and they will be fine. MJD should be able to keep some of the pressure off Blaine Gabbert, but if Jacksonville gets down early, look for Blaine Gabbert to have a long day. Chicago takes it 21-7.
9) Denver +7.5 @ New England

Peyton Vs Brady, the classic matchup is back. Although not quite the same any more as Peyton actually has a defense! Still Denver come into this game as heavy underdogs. The Broncos looked great last week by destroying the Raiders. Peyton however did not settle his doubters as his average pass only traveled 5+ yards. The questions regarding his arm strength is still relevant. However with such a dominant D and solid running game, Peyton no longer has to take over every game if he wants to win. New England on the other hand was down 21-7 in Buffalo last week and looked like they were limping toward a 1-3 start to the season. Then, unfortunately for the Bills, Tom Brady remembered that he was playing against the Bills. NE explodes for 45 consecutive points. I think the Pats will take this one at home, but not before some vintage Peyton in the 4th quarter. 28-27 NE win.   


Brady vs Manning in New England. Both teams can score but don't need to as much as before as their defense are both improved. Look for these guys to try and outsmart the others defenses and try to show who's the best old QB in the league. Enjoy this one because it could be the last time you ever see this match up. New England 27-24.

10) Buffalo +11 @ San Fran

Epic collapse from the Bills last week. mentally not going to be ready this week and look for the Niners to take it to them early and often. The offense has been getting better as the weeks have gone on mostly thanks to random receivers having breakout games. the running attack has also been solid as expected. The Niners crushed the Jets last week in a statement game after their loss to the vikings. They will do the same thing this week and could have back to back shutouts. San Francisco 27-6.

Uhmmm, expensive and vaunted front 7 of Buffalo, where are you? Mario Williams is looking awful so far and they are getting blown up by opposing teams running game. And frankly, Ryan Fitzpatrick is not someone you want to lead you to a comeback win. Buffalo needs to run the ball, play good defense and hope they play ahead. Unfortunately the Niners rely on the same formula and are much better than the Bills. SF 28-14.

11)Tennessee +5.5 @ Minnesota

Here is an absolutely irrelevant game. I don’t care, neither does Omid. Vikes win 19-7, ugly game. Horrible slate of late afternoon games, Hasselbeck vs Ponder or Peyton vs Brady? Go watch the other game, seriously.

Who cares really???????????????????  Minnesota is a good team thus far and should look to win this game no problem. Minnesota 17-9.
GAME OF THE WEEK
12) San Diego +4 @ New Orleans

If you like scoring this could be the game for you. The Saints have been struggling this season and have been 10 minutes away from being a 2-2 team. The mentally draining off season has clearly taken a toll on these guys and it will only get tougher as the season goes on. Drew Brees will be good as usual and most likely pass Unitas’s record for consecutive games with at least one touchdown pass. The Chargers are having a decent season so far so look for them to start their mid season collapse anytime now. Luckily the saints aren't going to make that easy. The offense is been decent so far but the reason that they have won 3 games is their run defense. San Diego 27-24.

I like San Diego, but I think New Orleans is due for a win, they are too good of a team to lose 3 straight games at home. Plus my buddy Dan (huge saints fan) will be at this game, and I'm pretty sure he’d cry if they lost this one. So, NO wins 45-38, nice high scoring shootout.

13) Houston -9 @ New York Jets

From worse to bad for the jets. Houston is arguable the second best team just ahead of the Niners and behind the Falcons. The Jets are such a mess i don't even want to get into it. The Texans will score, score,score and score all game. Houston 45-17.

LOL the Jets. They got embarrassed at home by the Niners. The Jets were outclassed in every phase of the game. They were even out Tebow’d by Colin Kapernick! Houston is the best team in the AFC at the moment and you gotta give a lot of credit to Wade Phillips. The Texans D couldn't stop anyone a few years back and now they are an elite unit. I think the Jets will come out with a lot of urgency, but still lose because that is what you get for trading for Tebow.  Hou 27-14 win.

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